Showing posts with label claude helvetius. Show all posts
Showing posts with label claude helvetius. Show all posts

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Let Me 'Educate' You, Said the Brussels Spider to the Irish Fly

There is a famous poem, authored by 19th Century English poet Mary Howitt, which holds as important a lesson for adults as it does for children. It is entitled, The Spider and the Fly.


The Spider and the Fly
-----
Will you walk into my parlour?" said the Spider to the Fly,
'Tis the prettiest little parlour that ever you did spy;
The way into my parlour is up a winding stair,
And I've a many curious things to shew when you are there."
Oh no, no," said the little Fly, "to ask me is in vain,
For who goes up your winding stair can ne'er come down again."
-----

"I'm sure you must be weary, dear, with soaring up so high;
Will you rest upon my little bed?" said the Spider to the Fly.
"There are pretty curtains drawn around; the sheets are fine and thin,
And if you like to rest awhile, I'll snugly tuck you in!"
Oh no, no," said the little Fly, "for I've often heard it said,
They never, never wake again, who sleep upon your bed!"
-----

Said the cunning Spider to the Fly, "Dear friend what can I do,
To prove the warm affection I 've always felt for you?
I have within my pantry, good store of all that's nice;
I'm sure you're very welcome -- will you please to take a slice?"
"Oh no, no," said the little Fly, "kind Sir, that cannot be,
I've heard what's in your pantry, and I do not wish to see!"
-----

"Sweet creature!" said the Spider, "you're witty and you're wise,
How handsome are your gauzy wings, how brilliant are your eyes!
I've a little looking-glass upon my parlour shelf,
If you'll step in one moment, dear, you shall behold yourself."
"I thank you, gentle sir," she said, "for what you 're pleased to say,
And bidding you good morning now, I'll call another day."
----

The Spider turned him round about, and went into his den,
For well he knew the silly Fly would soon come back again:
So he wove a subtle web, in a little corner sly,
And set his table ready, to dine upon the Fly.
Then he came out to his door again, and merrily did sing,
"Come hither, hither, pretty Fly, with the pearl and silver wing;
Your robes are green and purple -- there's a crest upon your head;
Your eyes are like the diamond bright, but mine are dull as lead!"
-----

Alas, alas! how very soon this silly little Fly,
Hearing his wily, flattering words, came slowly flitting by;
With buzzing wings she hung aloft, then near and nearer drew,
Thinking only of her brilliant eyes, and green and purple hue --
Thinking only of her crested head -- poor foolish thing! At last,
Up jumped the cunning Spider, and fiercely held her fast.
He dragged her up his winding stair, into his dismal den,
Within his little parlour -- but she ne'er came out again!
-----

And now dear little children, who may this story read,
To idle, silly flattering words, I pray you ne'er give heed:
Unto an evil counsellor, close heart and ear and eye,
And take a lesson from this tale, of the Spider and the Fly.
-----
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http://euobserver.com/9/26979/?rk=1

Brussels to 'educate' Ireland on EU realities


VALENTINA POP


22.10.2008 @ 18:58 CET


EUOBSERVER / STRASBOURG - The European Commission plans to help the Irish government communicate "Europe" better to citizens after June's shock No vote on the Lisbon treaty, with a new inter-institutional agreement to pull together the PR efforts of the main EU institutions.

"It's not about the European Commission interfering with the procedures and referenda on the Treaty, but it is investing in trying to correct the situation where so many people said they didn't know anything about the EU, or didn't know enough to take a position when they were asked," communication commissioner Margot Wallstrom said on Wednesday (22 October) in Strasbourg.


[THIS IS MOST LIKELY THE CASE SINCE THE BRUSSELS BUREAUCRATIC AGENCIES ARE NOT REALLY TRANSPARENT OR INCLUSIVE, EXCEPT TO THE FAVORED FEW ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL NGOs AND INDUSTRY GROUPS WITH SUFFICIENT POWER & INFLUENCE. THE PEOPLE OF THE EU, HOWEVER, ARE LARGELY DISENFRANCHISED. THIS HAS BEEN REFERRED TO WIDELY WITHIN EUROPE AS THE EU'S 'DEMOCRATIC DEFICIT.']


Commissioner Margot Wallstrom says the citizen's right to know should be enshrined in the EU Treaty.

[THIS IS AKIN TO THE SPIDER 'FLATTERING'/'SEDUCING' THE FLY].


Ms Wallstrom plans to sign a "memorandum of understanding" on launching a new communication "management project" in Ireland when she visits Dublin on 13 to 14 November.

The one year partnerships - already up and running in Germany, Hungary and Slovenia with eight other EU states about to sign up - see the commission provide EU literature, journalist training, school manuals and other civic education programmes.
[THE 'SPIDER' ALSO MADE ATTRACTIVE OFFERINGS TO THE 'FLY' TO ENTICE IT INTO ITS PARLOUR.]


One concrete project in Germany was "Guess who is going back to school," in which about 500 German officials paid visits to their former schools, explaining to pupils what their job is within the EU institutions.


The commissioner on Wednesday also signed an inter-institutional agreement between the European Parliament, commission and Council to co-ordinate the three institutions' communication efforts.


She said the move was not designed to create a "propaganda machine" but to support the fundamental democratic principle of the right to know. "It is the first time we have this framework after heavy resistance from member states," the commissioner explained.
[See: EU institutions agree to communicate in partnership, IP/08/1568 (10/22/08), at: http://ec.europa.eu/commission_barroso/wallstrom/pdf/press_20081022_en.pdf ].

The new agreement foresees co-ordinating future communication efforts on common priorities, such as the 2009 European elections, energy and climate change and the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall.


It is also designed to avoid situations where both the parliament and the commission organise events or print leaflets on the same topic without knowing what the other is doing.



Co-ordination will be provided by the Interinstitutional group on information (IGI) comprised of Ms Walstrom on behalf of the commission, French minister Jean Pierre Jouyet on behalf of the European Council and the vice-president of the European Parliament, Spanish conservative MEP Alejo Vidal-Quadras.


IGI will not have its own budget, but will draw from the coffers of the three institutions.


[A SIMILAR RATIONALE HAD PREVIOUSLY BEEN EMPLOYED BY EIGHTEENTH CENTURY FRENCH PHILOSOPHER, CLAUDE, ADRIEN HELVETIUS, TO JUSTIFY HIS 'HIGHLY REGARDED' CENTRALIZED STATE-DRIVEN CITIZEN 'EDUCATION' PROGRAMS WITHIN FRANCE. -- See discussion below]

Irish public was 'misinformed'. [??]

Going back to the Irish referendum on the Lisbon treaty, Ms Wallstrom said the public debate included a lot of "emotional arguments" and "disinformation," such as the idea that by voting Yes, people would have to send their children to an "EU army."


"The EU uses too much bureaucratic language, too much of a jargon impenetrable to normal people. There is no need for emotional arguments either, but for a factual language that people can understand," she explained.


[THIS IS A CLEVER 'WORKAROUND' TO SUBJUGATE THE IRISH PEOPLES' ULTIMATE ACT OF FREEDOM - TO VOTE THEIR INDIVIDUAL INTERESTS, EMOTIONS & CONSCIENCES - TO EU RULE & GOVERNANCE].



[See: What Aspect of the Irish 'NON' Do the Brussels & Paris Philosopher Kings Not Understand?, ITSSD Journal on Economic Freedom, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/07/what-aspect-of-irish-non-do-brussels.html .]

[See: The Irish People Have Spoken: NO EU TREATY; EU Commission & US Democratic Congress BEWARE!!, ITSSD Journal on Economic Freedom, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/06/irish-people-have-spoken-no-eu-treaty.html ].

[See: UK Government Provides Guidance On Behavior Modification Techniques Used to Shape Personal Lives of UK Citizens, ITSSD Journal on Pathological Communalism, at: http://itssdpathologicalcommunalism.blogspot.com/2008/01/uk-government-provides-guidance-on.html ] .

[See: UNESCO Promotes Behavior Modification For Sustainable Future Through Universal Mandatory Education, ITSSD Journal on Pathological Communalism, at: http://itssdpathologicalcommunalism.blogspot.com/2008/01/unesco-promotes-behavior-modification.html ].



Asked what would be the outcome of a pan-European referendum on the Lisbon treaty - as suggested by some Irish campaigners - Ms Wallstrom stressed that it is "the ultimate challenge" from a communication point of view to hold any referendum on a complex legal text.


"Whatever you do, you won't have in the end everybody reading a 400-page document," she said. "That's what MEPs are being paid for."


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[The following excerpt discusses Claude Adrien Helvetius' lasting influence on contemporary European political, legal and social thought, which should be of extreme concern both to the Irish AND American people. See: Lawrence A. Kogan and Robert Stein, Precautionus Principilitis: A Psychosocial Disorder Causing Luddite Psychobabble (c), ITSSD Journal on Pathological Communalism, at: http://itssdpathologicalcommunalism.blogspot.com/2008/01/precautionus-principilitis-psychosocial.html .]


["The reader, at this point, should not overlook the indelible impression that the philosophy of eighteenth century Frenchman, Claude Adrien Helvetius, had left on the European social behaviorists of his time, and apparently, now, the politicians of today. Helvetian-favored communalism and utilitarian logic are most definitely the driving force behind the current indoctrination climate under which European cultural preferences are being converted into an almost universal and unquestioning acceptance of national, regional, and potentially, supranational governmental mandates to employ the hazard-based precautionary principle in every day economic life. Helvetius “advocated legislation...as the means by which happiness for the greatest number would be achieved.” [27]"


"“Men develop according to the cultural pressures to which he is subject. Education accounts for all differences between individuals and must be utilized to realize ‘the ideal of general intelligence, virtue, and happiness’... In [Helvetius’] system, the only pleasure that is immoral is one that conflicts with the pleasure of the greatest number... The final test of any action, then, is its utilitarian value - its use to the public. The ideal government, he believed, would bring the greatest happiness to the greatest number, and universal education would make children useful to such a society. He advocated legislation of punishments and rewards to force men to contribute to public welfare. Under such a system, he felt only madmen could prevent themselves from being good citizens. Individual preferences and rights are lost to Helvetius in the all-consuming importance of public interest” (emphasis added). [28]"


"Hence, the wisdom of Helvetius has permeated the Brussels bureaucratic mindset, which has recognized how cultural pressures influenced by individual perceptions of others’ preferences and by the educational power of universally applicable (national, regional and international) laws, regulations and standards can help shape societal behavior in ways that may facilitate government’s fulfillment of socially and politically desirable policy objectives. It is therefore only in this light that one can truly appreciate why people would ever clamor for more rather than less regulation and taxation."


"Regretfully, European governments’ inclination towards providing centralized ‘soft’ socialist solutions to perceived market failures has only become more pronounced following the fall of the Berlin Wall. And, it is this institutional predilection for more and more governmental control and oversight over private lives that has now seized the imagination of a militant European environmental and social movement whose ideological bias against globalization, industry and individualism is rooted largely in the ‘eco-Marxism and pro-Sandinista sentiments’ brought to the movement by discredited pro-Soviet western groups.[29]"


[27] See Eric Samuelson, A BRIEF CHRONOLOGY OF COLLECTIVISM (1997) at: http://www.mega.nu:8080/ampp/samuelson.html#preserve%20the%20rights .

[28] Ibid., citing Mordecai Grossman, THE PHILOSOPHY OF HELVETIUS 16 (1926).

[29] See Patrick Moore, “Environmental Movement Has Lost its Way – Scare Tactics, Disinformation Go Too Far”, Miami Herald (1/30/05), at: (http://64.233.169.104/search?q=cache:ifvfRUvEbFUJ:www.greenspiritstrategies.com/D131.cfm+%E2%80%9CEnvironmental+Movement+Has+Lost+its+Way%22&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=9&gl=us); Patrick Moore, “Hard Choices for the Environmental Movement”, Leadership Quarterly 5(3/4) 1994, at: http://64.233.169.104/search?q=cache:tP6yt5WVc1QJ:www.greenspirit.com/key_issues.cfm%3Fmsid%3D34+%E2%80%9CHard+Choices+for+the+Environmental+Movement%E2%80%9D&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=us. ]

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Financial Times Columnist Predicts End to American Exceptionalism; Supports US Democratic Presidential Candidates' World View - Is US Really Like EU??

http://blogs.ft.com/crookblog/2008/04/the-end-of-the-american-exception


The end of the American exception


By Clive Crooks, FT's Washington columnist since April 2007


April 9, 2008


Here is a subject that preoccupies me at the moment. Europe continues, slowly and reluctantly, to deregulate its economies. In this it is following the US example. The American economy has some problems at the moment, but the EU’s governments are ever mindful of, and oppressed by, the long-term success of the American model. What is interesting is that the United States has been moving the other way.

If the Democrats control both the White House and

Congress next year, which seems very likely, America’s hitherto-gentle drift in Europe’s general direction will accelerate. One day, might the lines actually cross?

[European Socialist Party leader Rasmussen welcomes Britain's Prime Minister Brown at a meeting in Brussels ahead of a EU summit.




EU leaders members of European Socialist Party attend a meeting in Brussels ahead of a EU summit

This piece for The Atlantic takes a first stab at the question. I offer it as an introduction to the topic. I intend to return to it.

That the United States stands apart is something Americans and Europeans have agreed on for a long time. It goes back to Tocqueville, like most things. Many of the differences of character and culture he noted in the first half of the 19th century are still there, no doubt, but some more recent contrasts are looking questionable. Since 1945, American exceptionalism has been asserted with particular confidence—but gradually diminishing validity—in economic affairs.


America is to Europe as private enterprise is to the public good, as selfish individualism is to social partnership, as “compensation” is to work-life balance.


Modern America has limited government, weak unions, high-powered incentives, capitalism red in tooth and claw. Post-war Europe has tax-and-spend, transport strikes, six-week vacations, and the welfare state. Or so, on both sides of the Atlantic, we fondly imagine.


Living in the U.S. for several years after decades as a restless Brit, I continue to be struck by two things. First, this idea of rival economic paradigms appeals to both audiences: Neither would have it any other way. This may be why the notion persists so tenaciously, despite not being true. That is the second thing. Caricatures are well and good, but this one is just too much. In economic matters, America is far more like Europe, and Europe more like America, than either cares to admit. Moreover, the differences continue to shrink, and the pace of convergence seems about to accelerate. We will see whether the idea of America as the land of uncushioned capitalism—the timid and work-shy need not apply—will outlast a faster approach to the European norm.


[THIS IS PRECISELY WHAT THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY CANDIDATES SAY!!! HOW STRATEGIC, SYNERGISTIC & SELF-SERVING!! A MACHIEVELLIAN TOUR DE FORCE!!]


The Democrats’ promise of comprehensive health reform—something the country finally seems to want—is what prompts this line of thought. Over the past ten years, it seems, many Americans have come to think it wrong that a country as rich as theirs fails to guarantee access to health care. For much longer, almost all Europeans have thought it both incomprehensible and shameful. This is America’s biggest social-policy exception (unless you count capital punishment as social policy). And it is marked for abolition.


Universal health care, if it happens, will be an enormous change in its own right, of course, but also one with further implications. It is going to push taxes up—in the end, possibly way up. The plans lately under discussion have not been properly costed, but figures of $50 billion to $75 billion a year in extra spending—the sorts of numbers bruited for the Democrats’ proposals—are optimistic. Beyond the initial outlay, whatever that proves to be, is the likelihood that people will gradually migrate (at their own initiative, or more likely at their employers’) from private insurance schemes to the new (and presumably subsidized) public alternatives. Everything depends on how the system is managed, but it is easy to foresee, in the fullness of time, a far bigger increase in the cost to taxpayers than the current plans envisage. And if American health care coverage and financing get more European, American taxes will have to as well.


[THIS IS WHY FORMER PRESIDENT CLINTON PREVIOUSLY CALLED UPON AMERICANS TO MAKE 'BIG' SACRIFICES!! BUT WHEN HE SPOKE OF MAJOR SACRIFICES, HE WAS ONLY SPEAKING ABOUT THOSE RELATING TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE!!! DOES THAT MEAN, AMERICANS WILL ALSO HAVE TO MAKE HUGE SACRIFICES TO AFFORD UNIVERSAL HEALTH CARE AS WELL????

See: Mr. Clinton, Please Explain: US Must Adopt Europe's Economically Harmful Malthusian Negative Sustainable Development Climate-Energy Policies??, at:
http://itssdenergysecurity.blogspot.com/2008/02/clinton-american-should-adopt-europes.html ].


The rest of the article is here.


April 9th, 2008 in Current Affairs Permalink

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http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200803u/no-american-exceptionalism


Economically speaking, America could soon be more European than Europe


The End of the American Exception




By Clive Crook


March 5, 2008


That the United States stands apart is something Americans and Europeans have agreed on for a long time. It goes back to Tocqueville, like most things. Many of the differences of character and culture he noted in the first half of the 19th century are still there, no doubt, but some more recent contrasts are looking questionable. Since 1945, American exceptionalism has been asserted with particular confidence—but gradually diminishing validity—in economic affairs.


America is to Europe as private enterprise is to the public good, as selfish individualism is to social partnership, as "compensation" is to work-life balance. Modern America has limited government, weak unions, high-powered incentives, capitalism red in tooth and claw. Post-war Europe has tax-and-spend, transport strikes, six-week vacations, and the welfare state. Or so, on both sides of the Atlantic, we fondly imagine.


Living in the U.S. for several years after decades as a restless Brit, I continue to be struck by two things. First, this idea of rival economic paradigms appeals to both audiences: Neither would have it any other way. This may be why the notion persists so tenaciously, despite not being true. That is the second thing. Caricatures are well and good, but this one is just too much. In economic matters, America is far more like Europe, and Europe more like America, than either cares to admit. Moreover, the differences continue to shrink, and the pace of convergence seems about to accelerate. We will see whether the idea of America as the land of uncushioned capitalism—the timid and work-shy need not apply—will outlast a faster approach to the European norm.


The Democrats' promise of comprehensive health reform—something the country finally seems to want—is what prompts this line of thought. Over the past ten years, it seems, many Americans have come to think it wrong that a country as rich as theirs fails to guarantee access to health care. For much longer, almost all Europeans have thought it both incomprehensible and shameful. This is America's biggest social-policy exception (unless you count capital punishment as social policy). And it is marked for abolition.


Universal health care, if it happens, will be an enormous change in its own right, of course, but also one with further implications. It is going to push taxes up—in the end, possibly way up. The plans lately under discussion have not been properly costed, but figures of $50 billion to $75 billion a year in extra spending—the sorts of numbers bruited for the Democrats' proposals—are optimistic. Beyond the initial outlay, whatever that proves to be, is the likelihood that people will gradually migrate (at their own initiative, or more likely at their employers') from private insurance schemes to the new (and presumably subsidized) public alternatives. Everything depends on how the system is managed, but it is easy to foresee, in the fullness of time, a far bigger increase in the cost to taxpayers than the current plans envisage. And if American health care coverage and financing get more European, American taxes will have to as well.


"Europe" is a gross simplification, so think about Britain—which continental Europe regards as a mid-Atlantic offshoot of the United States—and, say, the Netherlands. U.S. taxes are 27 percent of national income, British taxes are 37 percent, and the Netherlands' are 39 percent. Recall that America spends fully 10 percentage points of national income more than Britain on health care, public and private combined. Suppose the bulk of the existing costs of U.S. health care eventually migrated to the public sector, and nothing else changed, American taxes would have to approach or exceed British and Dutch levels.


That is a worst-case scenario, no doubt, for believers in "vive la différence" And health spending, however important, is still only one category of social spending. America will continue to spend less on other social programs than is usual in Europe, you might think. In fact, the differences are exaggerated. Roughly speaking, Britain and the Netherlands spend about 10 percentage points more of their national incomes on taxpayer-financed social spending. But if you allow for the higher taxes that Europeans pay on their benefits, and for cash-like tax reliefs that the United States freely uses to advance social goals, the difference shrinks by nearly half. This, to repeat, is before the Democrats have done their health reform. And it is before they have taken up any of their other proposals to improve the country's safety net, through more comprehensive trade adjustment assistance and other kinds of help for displaced workers, or to expand other social programs.


[DEAR MR. CLIVE, HOW MUCH OF THE DATA ARE YOU CITING IS ACCURATE? WE ALL KNOW ON THIS SIDE OF THE POND HOW NONTRANSPARENT THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION AND PARLIAMENT CAN ACT. SO, HOW CAN WE TRUST THE NUMBERS YOU THROW OUT AS BEING RELIABLE?? ARE WE TO BELIEVE YOU, WHO ARE MORE OF AN EDITORIALIST THAN AN OSTENSIBLE JOURNALIST?? WE RECOGNIZE HOW THIS INFORMATION IS BEING USED AS PROPAGANDA TO PROMOTE GREATER TRANSATLANTIC REGULATORY-ECONOMIC HARMONIZATION!! THE MORE EUROPEAN POLITICIANS ARE ABLE TO PERSUADE THE AMERICAN PUBLIC THAT AMERICA AND EUROPE ARE QUITE SIMILAR, THE MORE READILY THEY WILL ACCEPT THE FATE THAT THE EUROPEAN UNION HAS IN STORE FOR THEM - INTEGRATION WITHIN THE UNITED NATIONS GLOBAL LEGAL FRAMEWORK AT THE COST OF U.S. NATIONAL SOVEREIGNTY!! AND, WHAT BETTER WAY TO PROMOTE TRANSATLANTIC HARMONIZATION THAN TO ALIGN EUROPEAN INTERESTS WITH THOSE OF THE AMERICAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY DURING THIS MOST IMPORTANT OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS!! I SAY, GOOD SHOW!!]


If you look at other aspects of the American economic exception, you see something similar: Transatlantic differences have narrowed already, and the trend is more of the same. Consider regulation of business and finance. Few seem to question that the weight of regulation is less in the United States. In one area, anyway, this is true: Worker protections are weaker in America than in Western Europe, where employers are far less free to fire at will; and the floor that the minimum wage puts under incomes is lower here than there. But think about product-safety regulation, or environmental regulation. Think about the FDA. In many areas, America regulates its businesses at least as tightly as Europe.


In the 1980s, the Reagan administration did make a serious attempt to deregulate parts of the economy. Particular industries, notably banking and the airlines, were transformed. In other cases, such as the utilities, it was not so much a case of deregulating as replacing one scheme of regulation with another. But these were exceptions to an ongoing trend of regulatory accretion, and in some cases, accretion is putting it mildly. On regulation of corporate governance, Democrats are still calling for stricter rules—and given some of the recent abuses, not without reason. Yet, since Sarbanes Oxley, American financial and corporate regulation has been probably the most stringent and complex in the world. Personally, and I speak admittedly as a resident of the District of Columbia, I find the encompassing multi-jurisdictional tyranny of inspectors, officers, auditors, and issuers of licenses—petty bureaucracy in all its teeming proliferation—more oppressive in the United States than in Britain, something I never expected to say.


The unions are weaker here, it is said. To be sure, they have fewer members as a proportion of the workforce than in Britain, or (even more so) continental Europe. This is something else, of course, that the Democrats say they want to fix. Their proposed card-check legislation is expressly intended to slow and reverse the decline in union membership. This is a goal which few European governments would any longer think to embrace. In Britain it would be regarded as crazy, partly because Britain's unions, at the zenith of their power in the 1970s, before Margaret Thatcher, were keen to confront not just employers but elected governments as well.


Qualitatively, if not quantitatively, American unions remind me of the old-fashioned British kind. They seem anachronistically angry and assertive. Reform education? Impossible: the teachers' unions will not hear of it. Barack Obama is called brave merely for uttering the words "merit pay" in their presence. See what America's unions have done to the auto industry. The Writers' Guild just shut Hollywood down for several months. I cannot think of a British union that any longer has that kind of muscle, or would think of exerting it if it did. In much of the rest of Europe, unions have become a quietly co-operative part of management more than militant champions of workers' rights.


It would be wrong to say that the European idea has "won." Attitudes, it seems to me, remain an ocean apart: America still salutes effort, ambition, self-reliance, and success in a way that is utterly unEuropean. And in recent years, remember, the distance between America and Europe has narrowed from both sides. Europe's governments have tried hard to cut taxes, spending, and regulation. They have had only modest success, it is true; nonetheless, there has been movement toward "American-style capitalism", as it is still called. In the United States, the movement has been the other way—and with Democrats expecting, plausibly, to add the presidency to their control of Congress next year, there is more to come.


*****************************************************************************
*****************************************************************************

Could the lines even cross? Could America ever become more European than Europe? It seems unlikely, but not unthinkable. The Democrats, taken at their word (which would be rash), seem to be proposing exactly that. Elements, at least, of the programs outlined by Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton during their nomination contest are significantly to the left of where Britain's Labour Party, post-Thatcher, post-Blair, now stands. (Think about that.) But let us suppose, less adventurously, that American capitalism and Europe's social market merely continue to approach each other in the center. For good or ill, the era of the American economic exception is coming to an end.

***********************************************************************************
***********************************************************************************


[THIS IS CLEARLY PROOF THAT THE AMERICAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES, MADAME CLINTON & MONSIEUR OBAMA, ARE CARRYING THE FLAG, AMBITIONS AND HOPE OF THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION AND PARLIAMENT - PERHAPS AMERICANS SHOULD CALL FOR A PUBLIC INVESTIGATION OF THE UNDUE POLITICAL AND FINANCIAL INFLUENCE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION IN U.S. NATIONAL POLITICS. AFTER ALL, IT WAS PREVIOUSLY PROVEN THAT CHINA HAD TRIED TO INFLUENCE THE 1996 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS!!


See: "INVESTIGATION OF ILLEGAL OR IMPROPER ACTIVITIES IN CONNECTION WITH 1996 FEDERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGNS FINAL REPORT of the COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS, SENATE Rept. 105-167 - 105th Congress 2d Session - March 10, 1998, at: http://fas.org/irp/congress/1998_rpt/sgo-sir/4-1.htm ;
http://fas.org/irp/congress/1998_rpt/sgo-sir/index.html .]


10 Responses to “The end of the American exception”


Comments


1. I cannot help wondering if there is not something slightly outdated in Clive Crook’s implicit assumption that the world is divided between America and Europe, when Asia is clearly the fastest growing and most dynamic region of the world by any reasonable standard. Nor would it be surprising if, perhaps in another 5-10 years, if not even earlier, we start to see a tidal wave of books, articles, blogs, seminars, etc. on the growing economic clout of Africa, remote as that posibility may seem as we watch the newscasts of the contuing horrors in places like Zimbabwe, Somalia and Sudan, to name only a few.


Should not more FT columnists be preparing themselves for this to a much greater extent than they seem to be doing now?

Posted by: algasema April 9th, 2008 at 11:40 pm Report this comment


2. “possibility”, not “posibility”. My apologies once again.

Posted by: algasema April 9th, 2008 at 11:42 pm Report this comment


3. alg, Exactly. But your optimism on Africa is misplaced. Africa is an irredeemable basket case and will unfortunately always remain so.

Posted by: RCS April 10th, 2008 at 1:01 pm Report this comment


4. RCS, ever since the time of Hegel, who famously wrote that Africa had no history, people in the west have been saying the same thing, in effect. I would agree that dictators like Mugabe are doing their best to ensure that as much of Africa as possible remains a basket case. However, given Africa’s oil and other resources, the fact that there is good, or at least improving, governance in places such as Ghana and Botswana, not to mention the functioning democracy in South Africa, imperfect though it may be (and how many examples are there of perfect democracies anywhere in the world?), and the fact that there is still a great deal that developed countries could do to give Africa greater access to their markets and reduce its burden of debt, I would hesitate to write off this whole continent.


Perhaps I am being too optimistic. But thirty years ago, most people thought that China was an incurable basket case. Going back fifty years, I remember taking a course about Southeast Asia as a Harvard undergraduate. The course was known as “Rice Paddies”.


I’m sure that these days, similar courses are probably known by entirely different names, such as possibly, “Computer Chips”? Of course, this could just be due to the rice shortage.

Posted by: algasema April 10th, 2008 at 2:58 pm Report this comment


5. Dear algasema,
I applaud your good-natured belief in humanity, but the ingredients of success include much more than an endowment of natural resources, or else Africa would have hit the road long ago. You cite the example of South Africa, but the fact remains that that country, founded by non-Africans, is now in decline.
Posted by: RCS April 10th, 2008 at 3:41 pm Report this comment


6. Dear Mr. Crook,
You seem to display the same inflated sense of ego and omniscience that most European Commission bureaucrats do, although you represent yourself as an objective journalist and ‘man of the people;, as well as, one who spent an ‘enlightened’ few years in America.


It appears as though you haven’t learned very much from that experience. Also, it would seem that you are too ready to concede the superior individual rights -based governance framework of the time-proven Anglo-sphere and the unrivaled US constitutional system. Do you honestly prefer the European continent-based paternalistic welfare state and the Napoleonic communalism which dictates what people can and cannot do?


Perhaps Britain and its citizenry are actually far weaker than they appear to be. How else to explain why nuanced tax & spend liberal Laborite Gordon Brown, who is ideologically in lockstep with Brussels bureaucrats, has been able to reneg on his public pledge and deny the British people a say over whether the UK accedes to the EU constitution/treaty? Why is Gordon Brown so eager to accede to kumbaya regionalism with Brussels based on the authoritarian/socialist proclivities of Berlin and Paris legislators/ regulators? Were Britain as strong and self-sufficient as it once was during the enlightened Thatcher era, this would never have been even a possiblility.


Sorry to say, contrary to your prognostications, American exceptionalism (individual rights-based federalism, checks and balances, due process of law, limited government and national sovereignty) will continue whether Europe likes it or not. As long as the EU and its member states continue to wield a 27-1 voting margin in international fora, the US will continue to refuse to play ‘UN’ ball. In fact, I would venture to say that the US might even play an obstructionist role in international affairs in order to preserve the unique constitutional precepts upon which it was founded (e.g., ‘negative’ exclusive private property rights as compared to Europe’s
‘positive’ property rights readily subject to public interest/ ‘public goods’ override), and thus, its national sovereignty.


One could even imagine certain circumstances under which the ‘BRIC’ nations of Brazil, India, China and Russia would be justified in considering NOT to surrender their national sovereignty to UN bodies, in order to stem the advance of top-down unaccountable UN global governance based on the EU regional model. This way, national and local constituencies (each nation’s citizenry) rather than some global/regional collective of arrogant but incompetent bureaucrats/philosopher kings) could be held to some modicum of constitutional due process and accountable framework of checks and balances. Without national sovereignty and federalism-based constitutionalism as a bulwark, international bureaucrats would be free to run amok and trample upon the individual rights of nations’ citizenry, especially those in constitutional representative democracies.


Lastly, as concerns your prediction about the likely result of the American presidential elections, if I were you, I would refrain from counting your chickens before they hatch. Madame Clinton’s ’solutions’ and Monsieur Obama’s
‘change’ policies, clearly harken from the European hinterlands (THERE IS NOT AN ORIGINAL POLICY IDEA BETWEEN THEM, INCLUDING UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE).


You are correct in intimating that the ideology of top-down governance, welfare state economics and communitarian thinking of the liberal wing of the US Democratic Party, which both candidates represent, is closer to that which now prevails in the socialist European Union than many people on both sides of the Atlantic recognize or are willing to admit. Were the Democrats to seize the White House in 2008 and to retain a majority in Congress (an abysmal thought if there ever was one), one thing is certain: There WILL be many more stringent draconian regulations of all flavors and textures adopted and much higher tax liabilities of all sizes and shapes imposed upon the working people of America, including union laborers, entrepreneurs and inventors - and upon the millions of America’s small businesses which have historically served as the backbone of American free enterprise, economic freedom, individualism, national independence and political and military strength.


Therefore, Americans should pay careful attention to what Ms. Clinton and Mr. Obama say and don’t say during the present election cycle, because their words, gestures and intimations will likely affect their daily lives for the worse. Indeed, once Americans understand what these candidates truly stand for (the surrender of US sovereignty and constitutional rights to an unaccountable global collective), they are likely to vote with their hearts and minds at the polls. And, when they do, they will likely remember and/or relearn why the American Revolution occurred in the first place.


As my friend and mentor, Professor O. Lee Reed of the University of Georgia, has clearly articulated in his scholarship, “Historians of the colonial era are virtually unanimous in concluding that the American Revolution was fought over private property and the English refusal to apply to their own colonists the great constitutional principle of England: legitimate taxation of privately owned resources can derive only from the people’s elected representatives. Said John Wilkes, Lord Mayor of London, during this time, ‘If we can tax the Americans without their consent, they have no property, nothing they can call their own.’”
With this in mind, I look forward to receiving your response.

Sincerely,

Informed Lawyer USA

Posted by: Informed Lawyer USA April 12th, 2008 at 6:47 pm Report this comment


7. A few comments in answer to “Informed Lawyer USA”. I am also a lawyer, and I can claim to be informed about a couple of things you have not mentioned in your comments. There is good reason to see the US as slipping into an almost third world income inequality, with 40 million Americans unable to afford health care, while a small elite at the top take home hundred million dollar bonuses for running their companies into the ground, and up to 2 million subprime mortgage holders are in danger of losing their homes because of predatory lending (followed by “securitization”) amounting to almost Enron-like fraud.


The Iraq war, which was entered into on false pretenses, as now almost everyone admits, has been a trillion dollar boondoggle (according to Steiglitz, who, I am willing to bet, knows a good deal more about economics than either of us) in which elite defense contractors and oil company barons have made billions while ordinary Americans (and Iraqi civilians) die.


As our country slides into bankruptcy and the dollar becomes worthless because of deficits resulting from the huge Bush/Cheney tax cuts for the wealthiest (with minute tax cuts for the rest) our democracy is rapidly disappearing, as torture is on the rise and due process erodes. America is not yet like Zimbabwe in fact, but the theory of our supposed democracy (and economy) is not much different. Europe may have its faults. But it is doing a better job of taking care of its citizens (and, for the most part, immigrants as well) and preserving its freedoms than we are doing over here on our side of the Atlantic. And your “free market” ideology is nothing more than a meaningless slogan, intended solely to preserve the privileges of the rich, as we saw most recently from the Bear Sterns bailout.

Posted by: algasema April 13th, 2008 at 5:12 pm Report this comment


8. A clarification on my above comment concerning “Enron like fraud”: I do not have specific information concerning subprime fraud convictions or dispositions relating to any specific lender, nor do I mean to imply this. However, it is a well known fact that the FBI and the SEC have been investigating the lending industry for subprime related fraud, as mentioned in a Financial Times article dated August 8, 2007.


Therefore, using this word is, in my opinion, not out of bounds. Unless my recollection is mistaken, I believe that Martin Wolf also used this term in a recent article on this topic. So did Alan Greenspan in his FT article of last week, though merely as a possibility, not a definite conclusion. My use of this word in connection with subprime lending has the same intention. It would be very hard to imagine that there could have been so many subprime loans issued on such harsh terms to people clearly unable to pay the sky-high “adjustable” interest rates, nor would so many institutions have bought worthless securities backed up by these mortgages, without conduct by the lenders which, if not actually fraudulent as a matter of law, can reasonably be assumed to have come as close to the line as possible.

Posted by: algasema April 13th, 2008 at 9:47 pm Report this comment


9. RCS,
can you name me an African ‘country’ that was NOT founded by non-Africans?
We all have our responsibilities and our parts to play in ensuring that Africa does not remain a ‘basket case’ (which is in itself a distortion of a much more complex situation)…
Posted by: David April 15th, 2008 at 2:02 pm Report this comment


10. Dear Algasema,
You seem so emotionally distraught over these issues that I promise to refrain from using loaded political terminology and from making legal accusations that are NOT factually based.


You see, my statements are based on fact (I can present much documentary evidence) concerning high-cost and non-science-based Euro-over-regulation creep within America. I can also provide documentary evidence which clearly points to which one of the two main US political parties embraces the moribund welfare-stated-based European Dream and along with it, the Euro-regulatory creep, especially as concerns the environment, universal healthcare and notions of weaker private property rights, including IP, which can be more readily overriden by claims of ‘public interests’.
So, when I state that I can prove that policies favored by Madame Clinton and Monsieur Obama who glowingly speak of their European ‘friends’, I CAN, IN FACT, trace them directly to Europe, and even to particular EU member states.


Can you back up your assertions similarly?? I strongly doubt it!!


What Americans need to do, is ask Madame Clinton and Monsieur Obama about how they will grow American government through exhorbitant welfare-like ’spending’ programs modeled after those in Europe and other socialist governments around the world (e.g., Brazil). Americans should also ask these candidates about how they will call for the imposition of layer upon layer of new opaque high cost regulations (e.g., carbon dioxide cap and trade) and all kinds of new taxes on economic activity, based on a strong notion of ‘public interest’ to correct the wrongs of the marketplace which have ‘endangered’ public health and the environment of the planet.


Oh, I almost forgot. The policy positions of Madame Clinton, Monsieur Obama and their US Senate colleagues (e.g., Sen. Leahy) also seem to favor the weakening of US intellectual property rights which are presently the envy of the world, namely patents and trade secrets. Can you demonstrate how their policies will NOT impair America’s ability to invent and innovate and generate small business investment in new technologies during this 21st knowledge-based century?


Interestingly, the stance of Madame Clinton and Monsieur Obama on patents, technology transfer and international trade seems to resemble and dovetail with that of the European Commission! Whoaa!!! Unfortunately the unions in the US only see this in connection with the current patent reform debate; they do not yet see how blocking bilateral trade agreements with Colombia, Korea, etc. on the grounds that there are relatively weaker labor and labor laws in these countries, has no impact on the US government’s ability to preserve jobs here in America! But give them some time to see through the campaign rhetoric.


American unions already realize that (they are NOT the ‘Joe six-pack’ chumps these candidates take them for), if US patents are weakened and compulsory licenses which can diminish patent rights can be issued by the US government at less than fmv, as Senator Leahy has sought to do in his prior bill (The Life-Saving Medicines Export Act Of 2006), based on the pretense of preserving an ‘important public interest’ (e.g., to improve America’s image abroad), then the chance of union members, once retrained, to capitalize from becoming garage inventors themselves - i.e., to reap the pecuniary rewards of temporary but exclusive market-based patent royalties for the time, discovery efforts and monies they have expended, will ultimately vanish.


You see, patent rights will become effectively weakened if patent infringement damage awards are limited as a matter of statute. Foreign competitors would be provided the wrong signal and would be encouraged to infringe upon US technologies and products containing them, knowing what the maximum all-out cost of a damage award could yield. Such arbitrage would also occur among compulsory license-loving centrally-planned foreign governments enamored of the ‘public interest’.


Can you provide evidence that candidates Clinton and Obama won’t pursue any of these ‘changes’? That foreign governments and foreign competitors won’t engage in patent infringement arbitrage at the market and government levels???


The public and I welcome your response.


Once the facts get out that candidates Clinton and Obama will give away American constitutional sovereignty, cutting-edge technologies, private property rights and yet-as-known sources of new 21st century American jobs, as a gesture of foreign policy - international charity and solidarity - and for the sake of ‘improving America’s ‘tattered’ image abroad’, these candidates will need to answer to the public. Only the American people, through transparent and open public debate, can sanction such initiatives. Do you not agree?


All the Best,
Informed Lawyer USA

Posted by: Informed Lawyer USA April 17th, 2008 at 7:50 pm Report this co

Wednesday, April 2, 2008

UK Labor Party Willing to Give-Away Country's Sovereignty to EU; Does the US Democratic Party Wish to Do the Same for America??

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article3635734.ece


President Sarkozy embarrasses Gordon Brown over EU treaty


The Times


March 28, 2008












President Sarkozy of France embarrassed Gordon Brown yesterday, heaping praise on his “courage and loyalty” for ratifying the EU treaty without a referendum.


[SEE Will America Follow the UK Down the 'Slippery Slope' of Unaccountable EU-Driven Global Governance? UK 'I Want a Referendum' Campaign Instructive at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/will-america-follow-uk-down-slippery.html ; 11/6/07 E-mail Correspondences Between Roger Helmer UK Member of European Parliament & Lawrence Kogan, ITSSD CEO, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/11607-e-mail-correspondences-between.html ; By Preventing Public Referendum on EU Constitution, Berlin Government Denied German People their Constitutional Right to Public Accountability, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/by-preventing-german-referendum-on-eu.html ; German Parliament Denied Citizens Right to Public Referendum on EU Constitution: Issue Deemed too Important for the People, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/german-parliament-denied-german.html ; UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown Pushes His Pen Through the Heart of Democracy & Economic Freedom, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/uk-prime-minister-gordon-brown-pushes.html ; UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown Fails to Honor Promises Made to British Citizens for Public Referendum on EU Constitutional Treaty, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/uk-prime-minister-gordon-brown-fails-to.html ; D'Estaing - French Father of Europe - Admits to Brussels Commission of Constitutional Fraud, at: http://itssdeconomicfreedom.blogspot.com/2008/01/destaing-french-father-of-europe-admits.html ].


The president [Sarkozy] said that every other European leader was grateful to Mr Brown for not blocking the replacement to the EU constitution.


In return the Prime Minister signed Britain up to moves to create common EU immigration standards and cooperate on defence and nuclear policy.


At the conclusion of yesterday’s France-UK summit, the French president vowed to continue his charm offensive designed to draw Britain into deeper engagement in the EU.


“It is not simply a matter of a one-night stand. I believe that we can go in to next-day breakfast as well,” Mr Sarkozy said at a joint press conference with Mr Brown.


He said that every EU leader had reason to be grateful for Mr Brown’s “courage and loyalty” in ensuring that the treaty, which replaced the failed EU constitution, would be ratified in the UK. Mr Sarkozy repeated his call for Britain to play a fuller role in the EU rather than “being on the sidelines”. “We need the British to get Europe moving,” he said, hinting that he had rebuked David Cameron for his pledge to put the Lisbon Treaty to a vote during his private meeting with the Opposition leader.


For his part Mr Brown upgraded to formidable the entente that Mr Sarkozy had previously improved from cordiale to amicale. He said: “We believe that, working together, France and Britain can be an even greater force for good so, if you like, this will be the entente formidable.”


A 36-page communiqu� agreed to deepen cooperation on issues including the reform of international financial regulations and institutions, defence and immigration. New arrangements were made to “combat nuclear terrorism” by screening cross-Channel traffic and the creation of a British civilian rapid reaction force to help to stabilise failing states. It was the leaders’ agreement to “take forward a new migration pact under the French presidency of the EU” that is likely to prove the most controversial, however. French ministers have said they want a “common definition of the right of asylum” and have backed European Commission proposals that could see asylum seekers shared between EU states.


Ministers sought to emphasise the measures that Britain and France were taking to deter illegal migrants, saying they had agreed to reinforce fences around the port at Calais, three weeks after a loophole was exposed. Illegal immigrants have been able to sneak aboard lorries in Calais because of inadequate fencing.


The two countries would also carry out a joint security audit and look at creating a fast-track system to introduce lighter controls on some goods vehicles, a statement from the Home Office said.


Ministers also agreed to cooperate to prevent any new Sangatte-type refugee centre developing at Calais or elsewhere on the Channel coast.


As expected Britain and France also agreed to harmonise the regulation of nuclear plants and work together to develop long-term waste facilities. The latter issue became more urgent yesterday with the publication of an official analysis giving warning that waste costs could prove prohibitively expensive for would-be investors.


Mr Brown said they had agreed a common approach to the problems in Afghanistan, Burma and Darfur, as well as the issue of nuclear proliferation. Mr Brown announced a joint British-Franco initiative to bring education to 16 million children in Africa.


Although both leaders called for restraint and dialogue in resolving the crisis in Tibet, Mr Sarkozy repeated his threat to boycott the opening ceremony of the Beijing Games.


“Depending on how the situation is looking at the time, I reserve the right to say whether I will attend the opening ceremony,” he said.


In contrast, Mr Brown said: “We will not be boycotting the Olympic Games. Britain will be attending the Olympic Games ceremonies. The Dalai Lama has not called for the boycott of the Olympics.”


Mr Sarkozy admitted that there were still tensions over the Common Agricultural Policy but said that for the first time a French president was prepared to debate its future.


Meanwhile Buckingham Palace accepted the blame for what it described as a “minor mix-up” that meant that Mr Brown failed to show up for a photograph before Wednesday’s state banquet. The Queen was heard to ask: “Has the Prime Minister got lost?” after Mr Brown failed to appear alongside the heads of state at the event.


As the monarch and the French President looked around for him, Mr Sarkozy reportedly smiled and remarked to his wife, Carla: “That’s Gordon.” Royal sources confirmed that Palace officials had “misdirected” Mr Brown to sit down.


— While the French media broadly hailed the London trip a success, hackles were raised by Mr Sarkozy’s declaration that Britain’s record for the past 30 years was a model that France must follow.

[??? WHICH COUNTRY IS LIKELY TO BE DOING THE REAL 'FOLLOWING'???]


A Le Monde columnist called this “a shameless exercise in toadying intended to win, at whatever cost, the approval of his audience”.


Le Figaro talked of a “Franco- British honeymoon” but said that it was up to Gordon Brown now to accept France’s hand.


France was also bemused by the collective swoon of the British media at the arrival of the President’s new supermodel wife. “The English conquered by Carla,” said a headline in le Parisien, under its story on “L’op�ration s�duction du couple Sarkozy à Londres”.


When diplomacy can be a touchy subject


— Paul Keating, the former Australian Prime Minister, put his arm around the Queen during her 1992 tour to the country, earning himself the nickname “Lizard of Oz”


— Geri Halliwell, a member of the Spice Girls, was scolded for turning up 40 minutes late to meet the Queen at a Buckingham Palace reception in 2005. She also pinched the Prince of Wales’s bottom


— In 2004, when Jacques Chirac, was French President, he was admonished by Britain’s tabloids for almost touching the Queen. One headline read “Hands off!” and the accompanying story described how Mr Chirac “came within a whisker of manhandling The Queen”


— Last year President Bush mistakenly said that the Queen had helped to celebrate the US bicentennial in 1776, rather than 1976. He didn’t help the situation by winking at the monarch, earning him a disapproving look described by the President as one “only a mother could give a child”




*************************************************************************************



No EU referendum


Financial Times


March 7 2008


Parliamentary rejection of a referendum on the Lisbon treaty will be a great relief to Gordon Brown. The UK prime minister need fear no longer this vexatious but, to him, second order question. Europe’s capacity to convulse British politics has been neutralised. But not for ever.


True, the chances of a plebiscite on Lisbon are now close to nil. The issue could be reopened if Ireland – the only one of the European Union’s 27 member states that will put the treaty to a referendum – votes it down. Even then, while that would give the EU a bad headache, Britain’s Conservative opposition will still probably not be able to muster enough votes in parliament to force a referendum.


Mr Brown and Labour may pay some price for ostensibly welching on a manifesto pledge to hold a popular vote on the defunct constitutional treaty. But even before they were repackaged into Lisbon, these reforms always amounted more to an amending treaty than a constitution. They are less far-reaching than the Maastricht treaty and – especially – the Single European Act signed by Margaret Thatcher, which produced literally thousands of laws on Britain’s statute book.


It is also manifestly in Britain’s as well as Europe’s interest to have a more coherent international voice, greater national scrutiny of EU law, and a fairer distribution of votes. You would not guess this from the way both Labour and the Tories so easily capitulate to tabloid jingoism.


In that comic-book narrative, the whole enterprise is about protecting the national veto, the Excalibur whose magic potency can scythe down the heathens of qualified majority voters. Whatever Europe proposes, Britain must oppose.


Mr Brown’s apparent pluck in resisting a referendum should not be mistaken for courage or principle; all the bluster about red lines and opt-outs could not conceal fear of defeat. At best, he took the right decision for the wrong reasons.


As for the Liberal Democrats, the UK’s most enthusiastic Europeans, their posture – abstention in order to highlight their demand for a plebiscite on Britain’s EU membership – left them looking foolish. Unless it was a ploy to exemplify the problem with referendums: that they tend to elicit answers to questions that are not being asked.


Europe remains a “wedge” issue between the parties and within all of them. Until that changes, Europe will always haunt British politics.


Tony Blair, the most pro-European leader for a generation, spurned the opportunity to enhance Britain’s influence in and through Europe. Mr Brown will be no different. Yet what better means is there for milking prosperity from globalisation while alleviating some of its side-effects? For effective multilateralism and multiplying power in facing challenges from climate change to terrorism? But Britain can only be a shaping force in Europe if it begins to see it as an opportunity.

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

France's Continuing Existentialist Crisis Leads to the Return of European Power Politics

http://www.stratfor.com/theme/europes_return_power_politics


Europe's Return to Power Politics


The European Union has grown to the point where it constitutes a market powerhouse but cannot function as a coherent geopolitical entity. So after 60 years of integration, Europe has returned to the style of power politics that reigned before World War II.


By George Friedman


Stratfor Strategic Forecasting


December 7, 2007

French President Nicolas Sarkozy announced the week of March 16 that France is cutting its nuclear arsenal to less than 300 warheads, which he said was less than half the number France had during the Cold War. Meanwhile, plans are under way in Paris to return to full membership in NATO; Sarkozy will travel to London the week of March 23 to discuss reintegration.


Sarkozy spoke while attending the launch of France’s newest nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine in Cherbourg. During his speech, he added that, at present, none of France’s nuclear weapons is aimed at anyone. During the same appearance he said, “All those who threaten to attack our vital interests expose themselves to a severe riposte by France.” This was said in the context of discussions of Iran, which he said was among those countries in the process of developing nuclear weapons. France is simultaneously calling attention to its nuclear capability and adopting an increasingly hostile posture toward Iran. While the media focus is on Sarkozy, it seems to us that this issue goes deeper than personalities. Processes are under way that are shifting French foreign policy.


The shift is not a dramatic one yet; there is more continuity than discontinuity in French foreign policy. Like all French leaders for the last half-century, Sarkozy is focusing on his country’s strategic independence, particularly on its nuclear capability. At the same time, France is aligning itself more closely with the U.S. view of Iran, and, to some extent, with the U.S. view of the Middle East. In doing so, France is creating stresses within the European Union and reshaping its relationship with Germany. These small changes have broad implications that need to be understood.


Foreign Policy Since 1871


Since 1871, France has had two foreign policies. The year 1871 saw German unification. Prior to 1871, the fragmentation of Germany into numerous ministates secured France’s eastern frontier; France concerned itself with the rest of Atlantic Europe, particularly Spain and England. German unification redefined French geopolitics by creating a major power to its east. This major power was insecure because it was caught between France, Russia and the Austro-Hungarian Empire. German insecurity made it a threat to France. A united Germany had to deal with the causes of that insecurity, and France was one of those causes. German unification effectively coincided with the defeat of France by Prussia, and drove home the significance of a unified Germany.

From German unification and the Franco-Prussian war until 1945, the essence of French foreign policy consisted of managing Germany. That meant France had to change its relationship with its historic rival, the United Kingdom, and keep Russia aligned with the Anglo-French alliance. For more than 80 years, French foreign policy could be boiled down to containing Germany. The strategy proved successful, assuming one accepts the losses incurred in World War I and five years of occupation during World War II. In the end, France survived.


This set in place France’s second post-1871 strategy, which evolved over the 1950s until its institutionalization by Charles de Gaulle. This postwar strategy consisted of two parts. The first part involved embedding France into multinational institutions, particularly the European Economic Community (EEC) — which evolved into the European Union — and NATO. The second part involved using these institutions to preserve French sovereignty and independence. Put differently, France’s strategy was to participate in multinational structures while using them for its own ends, or at least defining a limited relationship with the structures.


France’s overriding concern was to avoid getting caught in a third world war after having been devastated by the first two world wars. Preventing this outcome meant exploiting German disunification, effectively ending France’s primordial fear of Germany. It did this in two ways. The first involved drawing close to West Germany economically, creating a system of relationships that would make Franco-German conflict impossible.


The second involved blocking the Soviet threat by participating in NATO.
France’s problem was that the deeper that it went into European institutions and NATO, the more tenuous its sovereignty became.
It needed the economic and military relationship with Germany, but it had to retain its room for maneuver. More precisely, it wanted to draw closer to Germany and take advantage of a collective security scheme, but not become a client state of the United States. It therefore belonged to NATO, but pulled out of the alliance’s integrated military command structure in 1966. NATO’s military structure made certain responses to a Soviet invasion automatic. France refused to allow its response to be automatic, but remained committed to collective defense.


France was concerned with maximizing its autonomy, but it had a deeper fear as well.


The defense of Western Europe was predicated on U.S. intervention. The doctrine of massive response held that, in the event of a Soviet invasion that could not be contained conventionally, the United States would use nuclear weapons against the Soviet Union. The U.S. position was thus to initiate a nuclear war that would potentially see America’s cities decimated, all in order to protect Europe.


The French problem, however, was that Paris would not know whether Washington would honor this commitment until after the initiation of hostilities. From the French point of view, it would be irrational for the United States to invite its own devastation to protect Europe. Therefore, the American commitment was at best untestable. At worst, it was an implausible and transparent attempt to jeopardize Europe so as to deter a Soviet attack without the United States risking anything fundamental.


An Independent Deterrent

The need to protect French sovereignty intersected with what Paris saw as a genuine requirement to maintain a military capability outside the framework of NATO, all the while remaining part of NATO and the EEC. France wanted NATO to function. It wanted to be close to Germany. And it wanted a set of options outside the context of NATO that would guarantee that France would not be reoccupied, this time by the Soviets.



The decision to construct an independent French nuclear deterrent was based on this reasoning. As de Gaulle put it, France wanted to retain the ability to tear off an arm if the Soviets attacked France through Germany. It was unsure whether the United States would act to deter the Soviet Union, but even a small nuclear force in the hands of a power likely to suffer occupation — and thus a force very likely to be used — would deter the Soviets. Therefore, the French developed (and retain) the nuclear force that Sarkozy decided to cut but not eliminate.


This issue remained at the heart of U.S.-French tensions both during and after the Cold War. The American view was that the United States and all of Western Europe (plus some Mediterranean countries) had a vested interest in resisting the Soviets, and they could do so most effectively by joining in multilateral economic and military organizations allowing them to operate in concert. The Americans viewed the French reluctance to follow suit as France seeking a free ride. From the American point of view, the U.S. bore the brunt of the cost of defending Europe, as well as underwriting Europe’s economic recovery in the early years. France benefited from both, and would benefit as long as the United States defended Germany. Paris wanted the benefits of the American presence without committing itself to burden-sharing. Put another way, how could the
Americans be certain that, in the event of war, France would protect Germany, Italy or Turkey? Perhaps Paris would remain aloof unless France were attacked.


The French mistrust of the credibility of U.S. commitment to Europe collided with American mistrust of French reasons for being part of NATO without committing itself to collaborate automatically in NATO’s response to the Soviets. France was comfortable with this ambiguity. It needed it. It needed to integrate economically with the Germans, to be part of NATO, but to retain its own options for national defense. If this meant increasing American distrust, and even a sense of betrayal, this was something France must tolerate to achieve its strategic goals.


With the fall of the Soviet Union, France entered a new strategic phase. The French responded to the Soviet collapse and to German reunification by maintaining and extending its core policy. It remained ambiguously part of NATO, participating as it saw fit. It really concentrated on transforming the European Union into a multinational federation, with its own integrated foreign policy and defense policy.


This position appears paradoxical. On the one hand, France wanted to maintain its national sovereignty and freedom of action. On the other, it wanted to be a counterbalance to the United States and to draw ever closer to Germany — permanently eliminating the historic danger from its eastern neighbor, however distant the German threat might appear under current circumstances. France could not resist the United States alone. It could do so only in the context of a European federation, which would of course include the critical French relationship with Germany.


Independence vs. Europe


France therefore had to choose between a wholly independent foreign policy and federation with Europe. It tried to have its cake and eat it too. It supported the principle of federation, and within this federation it sought a particularly close relationship with Germany. But its view of this new federation was that while, in a formal sense, France would abandon a degree of sovereignty, in practical terms — so long as France could be the senior partner to Germany — the French would dominate a European federation. In effect, federation would open the door to a Europe directed, if not dominated, by Paris.


This is why Central Europe revolted against French President Jacques Chirac on the eve of the U.S. invasion of Iraq. The Central Europeans were not particularly enthusiastic about the war, but they were far less enthusiastic about Chirac’s actions. From their point of view, he was using the Iraq issue to create a European bloc, led by France in opposition to the United States. For a country such as Poland that had relied on French (and British) guarantees prior to World War II, the idea that France should lead a Europe in opposition to the United States was unacceptable. Chirac gave a famous press conference in which he condemned the Central European rejection of French opposition to the invasion as representing nations that were “not well brought up.” This was the moment in which French frustration welled over.


France was not going to get the federation it hoped for. Too many countries of Europe wanted to retain their freedom of action, this time from France. They were not opposed to economic union, but the creation of a federation with a joint foreign and defense policy was not enthusiastically greeted by smaller European countries (and some not-so-small countries such as Britain, Spain and Italy). As anti-federationism grew, it swept forward to include France as well, which rejected the European constitution in a plebiscite.


This moment was the existential crisis [??] created the Sarkozy presidency. Sarkozy has raised two questions that have been fundamental to France. The first is France’s relationship to Germany. France has been obsessed with Germany since 1871, at first hostile, later nearly married, but always obsessed. The second question relates to France’s relationship to the United States. Chirac represented postwar Gaullism’s view in its most extreme form: Convert European institutions into a French-dominated multinational force to balance U.S. power. This attempt collapsed, so Sarkozy had to define the relationship France might have with the United States if France could not counterbalance the United States.


The Mediterranean Union


The questions of Germany and of the United States were addressed in the French idea of a Mediterranean Union. Since German unification in 1871, France has obsessed about the north German plain. But France is also a Mediterranean power, with long-term interests in North Africa and the Middle East in such countries as Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia, Lebanon and Syria. Where Germany is entirely a northern European power, France is not. Therefore, Chirac proposed that, in addition to being a member of the European Union, France should create a separate and distinct Mediterranean Europe. The latter grouping would include the rest of the Mediterranean basin, extending as far as Turkey and Israel. It would exclude non-Mediterranean powers such as Germany and Britain, however.

France had no intention of withdrawing from the European Union, but saw the Mediterranean Union as a supplemental relationship, and argued that it would allow EU expansion without actually admitting new EU members. The Germans saw this as a French attempt to become Europe’s strategic pivot, leading both unions and serving as the only member that was both a northern European and a Mediterranean power. The Germans did not like this scenario one bit. The French then backed off, but did not abandon the idea.

If the French are going to be a Mediterranean power, they must also be a Middle Eastern power. If they are playing in the Middle East, they must redefine their relationship with the United States. Sarkozy has done that by drawing systematically closer to American views on Iran, Syria and Lebanon. In other words, to pursue this new course, the French have drawn away from the Germans and closer to the Americans.


This is all very early in the game, and the moves so far are very small. But the French have slightly backed off from their German obsession and their fear of the United States.

The collapse of European federationism has set off a reconsideration of France’s global role, a reconsideration that will — if continued — radically redefine France’s core relationships.


What the French are doing is what they have done for years: They are looking for maximum freedom of action for France without undue risk. Though France has long pursued its interests with consistency, its current moves are different. It appears to be pulling away from Germany and seeking power in the Mediterranean.

And that means working with the Americans.